Which reasoning flaw is illustrated when Margaret Haskins' tough courses predict her future success as a lawyer?

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The reasoning flaw highlighted in the scenario involves the assumption that Margaret Haskins' success in tough courses directly predicts her future success as a lawyer. This flaw is known as the Division fallacy. It occurs when an individual assumes that what is true for the whole (tough courses being challenging and potentially leading to success in a field like law) must also be true for each individual part or member contained within that whole (in this case, Margaret Haskins).

In other words, just because tough courses may contribute to a pathway toward success doesn't necessarily mean that every individual who takes those courses will achieve similar success in their chosen career. This is an important distinction as it emphasizes that individual outcomes can vary significantly based on a multitude of factors beyond just academic performance or course rigor.

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