Which fallacy is committed when saying, "I know LSU will win because their defensive unit received accolades last year"?

The statement "I know LSU will win because their defensive unit received accolades last year" exemplifies a fallacy known as Non Sequitur. This fallacy occurs when there is a disconnect between the evidence provided and the conclusion drawn from it. In this case, the accolades received by LSU’s defensive unit do not logically guarantee that the team will win in the future. Just because a unit performed well in the past does not mean that their past performance will directly lead to victory in upcoming games.

This reasoning lacks a causal relationship; hence it does not follow a logical sequence. It overlooks other factors that contribute to winning a game, such as the performance of the offensive unit, the quality of the opponent, injuries, and other contextual conditions.

While Selected Instances refers to drawing a conclusion based on an unrepresentative or selective set of examples, the argument presented does not specifically hinge on cherry-picking instances but rather on the misalignment of cause and effect, hence emphasizing the Non Sequitur nature of the reasoning.