What reasoning mistake is evident in believing that the previous problems with the manager will recur purely based on historical patterns?

The reasoning mistake in believing that previous problems with the manager will recur purely based on historical patterns is best described as selected instances. This type of reasoning occurs when someone draws a conclusion based on a limited or specific set of past experiences, rather than considering a broader context or all relevant factors. In this case, the individual is focusing solely on past interactions with the manager and assuming that those specific instances will repeat without accounting for changes in circumstances, behaviors, or context that could influence future interactions.

This reflects a tendency to generalize from isolated examples without sufficient evidence that the same conditions will apply again. It's important to recognize that while past experiences can inform expectations, they do not necessarily dictate future outcomes, especially in complex interpersonal situations like those involving a manager. By relying solely on selected instances, one risks forming an overly simplistic or incorrect view of the future based on a narrow slice of history.